I envy Mr. Neal.
I think he's got a ringside seat at what is sure to be the greatest show on earth. It's going to be so much fun that Ringling Brothers and Barnum and Bailey are going to have to look for a new slogan. There are times when the hyperbole is overused and other times when it is warranted, and this will be one of the latter times.
I mean, look at it. You've got a white woman running against a black man for the Democratic nomination for President in a year when the Democrats have a good shot at winning it. This would be exciting even if Hillary wasn't the female candidate. Adding in the Clinton factor is frosting on the cake. To make things even more fun, Sens. Clinton and Obama mix as well as Mentos and Diet Coke, frothy and explosive when combined.
And let's not forget the delegates from Florida and Michigan, although Obama might want to. Hillary's efforts to get them seated are sure to cause quite a ruckus. And last but not least, we've got the super delegates, who will rush in at the last minute to save the day.
Or something like that.
All in all, it should be a lot of fun to watch. My guess is that in the end, Hillary will win the nomination. Since a majority of Democrats want her to stay in the race, that can only mean that either some primary voters for Obama have changed their minds, or that the primary voters are not representing the true face of the Democrat party. In either case,look for Hillary to play this up at the convention, as well as the fact that she fares better against McCain in swing states that Dems must pick up in order to win in November.
If it comes down to a choice between honoring the majority of the primary voters and winning in November,which way will the convention go?
Like I said, it's going to be lots of fun to watch.
Posted by Rich at May 28, 2008 12:48 PM | TrackBackSay what you want, McCain wins at least 53-47.
Hillary has half the electorate willing to walk barefoot across hot asphalt, broken glass and rusty metal turnings to vote against her. This will not change as they see more of her during the convention and the general election campaign, and she will not pick up many more socialists than she already has supporting her, because she will have to be very "Clintonesque" to win the nomination despite having fewer delegates pledged than Obama.
Barrack has lost voters already as his past, present, criminal or extremist Chicago associates/mentors/financiers/supporters have become better known, and his own extremist socialist policies have had to be enunciated publicly beyond "Changy Hopeness."
All McCain has to do is continue to promise not to be a complete Democrat and avoid falling further leftward during the general election and the Presidency is his. And nothing, absolutely nothing, will help the Democratic nominee if there is a successful Islamic terrorist mass murder event anywhere worldwide in the last months leading up to the election.
Fun to watch, but realize this is a deathwatch on Democrat presidential ambitions.
Will Dems increase House and Senate majorities? Most likely, given the RINOs who are there now, and the many who are leaving this time around. But that is a different question.