October 21, 2002

Sniper is talking

The sniper is talking to the police, although they won't tell us what he is saying.

"[I] just want to ask the indulgence of the media that the message that needed to be delivered is that we are going to respond to a message that we have received," Montgomery County Police Chief Charles Moose said. "We'll respond later. We are preparing our response at this time."

Interesting quote. The police are trying to keep things quiet for two reasons. The first, and most important, is that by keeping the details quiet, they reduce the amount of noise generated by wanna bees, and can focus on the sniper. Since nobody knows what the message said, impersonators can be weeded out, reducing increasing the signal to noise ratio. The second reason is related to the first. By not tipping their hand, they give the sniper less to go on. We are already seeing signs that he is adapting is tactics to law enforcment action.

  • They started military reconnaisance flights; he moved further down range.
  • They noted a pattern in his timing, i.e. no weekend shootings; he waited for a weekend for his next attack.

By not letting the sniper know whow much they know, they reduce his ability to countermove.

The police have valid reasons for maintining a high level of secrecy, reasons which have nothing to do with avoiding public hysteria over a possible Middle Eastern terrorist link.

Posted by Rich at October 21, 2002 11:11 AM
Comments

INCREASING, the signal to noise ratio, actually.

Nitpickingly yours,
-S

Posted by: Spoons on October 22, 2002 12:20 AM

Of course, you are correct.

Oops.

Posted by: rich on October 22, 2002 11:00 AM

Hi. I haven't visited your site in a while, but the new one looks like it's in motion. I was having trouble loading your page. Anyhow, living in the Tidewater Va. area, I have kept up with the actions of the sniper on a regular basis. I even wrote a poem about him on my blog page a week or two ago. We were worried about it being within less than a two hour drive away. My thoughts about it are on my page. Oh yeah, I am the older brother of "Jaded Journal" blogger, and also of "Damn Diary" blogger. Used to live in Bristol, Tn.,but.....USN '79-'82, married, DVD, kid lives here etc., etc. Keep writing, it's good stuff.

Posted by: Wade Kinnaird on October 25, 2002 12:27 AM
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